Oct 19, 2009

Stocks 'gain from crisis'

Sources: Straits Times Oct 19, 2009
Stocks 'gain from crisis'
More investors turn to equities due to low bank rates and fewer options
By Alvin Foo, Markets Correspondent

THE equities industry has gained tremendously because of the global financial crisis, said the head of a key stockbroking company in Singapore.

Investors - faced with near-zero bank deposit interest rates and fewer alternative options for their funds - have turned to stocks in a big way.

This trend is set to continue, even as Western funds are expressing more interest in Asian stocks.

DBS Vickers chairman and chief executive Edmund Lee told The Straits Times: 'Our industry has benefited in a very big way, because there are only two asset classes that have performed in the last 12 months - equities and property.'

His company was named the best retail broker at the Securities Investors Association of Singapore (Sias) awards earlier this month.

In Singapore, the surge in the Straits Times Index (STI) bears witness to the renewed interest and liquidity in stocks. Last week, the index hit a 13-month high, crossing the 2,700-point mark. It has recouped all of the losses incurred since the sharp selldown following the collapse of Lehman Brothers.

Oct 1, 2009

Minibonds payback

Source: Straits Times Oct 1, 2009
Minibonds payback By Francis Chan
INVESTORS of Lehman Minibonds who are still holding the credit-linked notes should get some money back in 'a few months', said PricewaterhouseCoopers Singapore (PwC), receivers of the toxic investments on Thursday. The announcement will bring some cheer to investors who were unable to come to settlements with distributors that sold the products. It also allays fears that the process to recover some of the hundreds of millions of dollars lost would be bogged down in lengthy cross-border legal wrangles. PwC said the receivers have taken control of the underlying collateral of the notes and have started the process of realising the residual values before paying noteholders. The collateral consists mainly of corporate bonds held by two special purpose vehicles in the Cayman Islands. The receivers reached an agreement recently with Lehman Brothers Special Financing (LBSF), the swap counter-party in the Minibonds programme here. This deal clears the way for the next step, which involves the receivers appointing a disposal agent - believed to be a global investment bank - within the next few days. The agent will begin liquidating the underlying collateral so that certain payment obligations, including some due to LBSF, can be made. The balance of the funds will be distributed to noteholders. The amounts they receive will depend on what series or tranches of notes they are holding. PwC said the process will 'take a few months to liquidate the collateral and determine the actual value which can be realised'. Although PwC could not say when noteholders might get some money back, or how much they will get, due to confidentiality obligations. 'This settlement provides certainty to the noteholders that at least some of their initial investment will be recovered,' said Mr Dominic Nixon, a partner at PwC and one of three appointed receivers from the audit firm. The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) said the deal with LBSF does not affect any claims individual investors are making against the financial institutions that sold them the notes. 'Investors who accepted partial settlement offers ... would have retained a portion of the notes, and will get to keep the residual value arising from those notes,' said MAS on Thursday.

Close to 12,000 opt for CPF Life

Source: Straits Times Oct 18, 2009
Close to 12,000 opt for CPF Life

By Jamie Ee Wen Wei

It has been a busy month at the Central Provident Fund (CPF) Board.

Members have been flooding its offices and phone lines with questions about the new CPF Lifelong Income Scheme For The Elderly (CPF Life), which was opened last month to those aged 55 and above.

Almost 30,000 people have walked into its five service centres to ask about the scheme, said Mr Tey Chee Keong, deputy director of CPF Board's lifelong income department.


Payout of $360 a month on retiring

In two years' time, when she turns 62, Madam Yeo Ai Kiaw (above) will get a payout of about $360 a month from her CPF Life Basic plan.

The plan, which has the lowest payout among the four options, will allow her to leave more money to her beneficiaries when she dies.

'My husband and I are now living with our son. He and his wife take care of all the household bills. I don't have to worry about anything,' said the sprightly 60-year-old.


Preparing himself for a longer life

Mr Palaniappan Kannappa is not afraid of death but he is worried about 'living too long'.

'The Minimum Sum in my CPF will dry up in about 20 years. What will happen if I live longer than that?' he said. So the 59-year-old accountant started shopping for a retirement policy a year ago.

Around that time, he read about the CPF Life plan, which was introduced to the public last year.


Mr Cheng Yew Fatt wants to remain independent in his old age

Mr Cheng Yew Fatt wants to remain independent in his old age.

For this reason, the 55-year-old, who is unemployed, signed up for the CPF Life Plus plan last month.

It provides him with a higher monthly payout than the Life Balanced plan, but leaves less for his beneficiaries. It suits him because he feels his three children are already well protected financially.


His savings will run out in 5 years

Mr Lee Poh Lee is a family man, but last month, he signed up for the CPF Life Income Plan, which will give him the maximum payout from his CPF from next year.

The 63-year-old, who runs a crane rental company, decided on this plan because his CPF savings are low.

'I've only about $19,000 in my CPF so it'll run out very fast.'


He's not signing up

When Mr Christopher Seet turned 55, he invested $70,000 from his CPF in an American International Assurance (AIA) annuity plan.

Early this year, he started getting a monthly payout of $562.

Now 62, Mr Seet does not intend to sign up for CPF Life. He said it does not bother him that the monthly payout he is getting now will last for only 17 years, unlike the CPF annuity scheme, which is for a lifetime. 'What is important is the present. If I really outlive my savings, then I'll just have to find some way to make ends meet.'

Sep 22, 2009

More flexibility with new insurance law

More flexibility with new insurance law

Policyholders can now change nominees, but law not retrospective. -ST Source: Thu, Sep 10, 2009 The Straits Times

By Lorna Tan, Senior Correspondent

INSURANCE policyholders can name beneficiaries and change them when the need arises, thanks to the introduction of a new nomination regime.

The long-awaited Insurance Nomination Law provides policyholders of life, accident and health policies with more flexibility and control over how to distribute policy proceeds.

The new law came into effect on Sept 1 and is seen as a vast improvement on the arrangement it replaces, which did not allow policyholders to change beneficiaries even after a divorce.

This meant that if a policyholder named his spouse or children as policy beneficiaries, he effectively created a statutory trust even if he did not want to.

Policyholders were prevented from changing their beneficiaries, or cashing in their policies without the consent of beneficiaries.

Many policyholders learnt of this only during divorce proceedings when they discovered that their former spouses still had a claim on their policies, or when an insured person's death sparked a bitter family dispute.

Some did not realise that if they named other parties as beneficiaries, such as grandparents, siblings, aunts and friends, they had no legal claim to policy proceeds.

The controversies surrounding such trusts prompted the insurance industry to do away with nominating beneficiaries in life policies in 2002.

The exception is NTUC Income because its policy proceeds are paid to nominees under a different law - the Cooperative Societies Act - allowing a cooperative member to make a nomination, which can include spouse, children, relatives and friends.

Under the Insurance Nomination Law, customers have two choices - to either make a trust nomination, or a revocable nomination.

With a trust nomination, the policyholder relinquishes all rights to the policy. This means that while he is still obliged to pay premiums, all policy benefits - living and death - belong to the nominees. An advantage is that policy proceeds are protected from creditors in the event of bankruptcy.

The policyholder can regain his rights to own the policy benefits only with the consent of all nominees. And only the spouse or a child of the policyholder is eligible to become a nominee.

With a revocable nomination, the policyholder continues to retain full ownership over the policy. He retains the right to change, add or remove nominees at any time without the consent of nominees.

The policyholder will receive living benefits and only death benefits will be paid to the nominees.

Unfortunately, the new law does not apply retrospectively to existing policies with previous nominations, but existing policies with no previous nominations are eligible.

Although the new framework applies to personal accident plans, general or non-life insurers who sell such cover would not be keen to offer their customers the option to nominate.

The General Insurance Association said that this was due to the fact that such policies are renewable either annually or on a monthly basis.

'Hence any nomination by a policyholder will be valid for the period of insurance only, which can be as short as one month,' it added.

Nevertheless, the new law has been welcomed by many.

Mr Darren Thomson, president of the Life Insurance Association (LIA), said: 'For estate planning, the new framework provides all-important clarity and hence peace of mind.

'It gives policyholders legal options in naming their beneficiaries, and a choice of control over the policy - whether they wish to relinquish or retain their rights during their lifetime.'

LIA added that the nomination process is straightforward with forms that are easy to complete.

To help consumers, a guide is available on its website www.lia.org.sg

Sep 17, 2009

What you should know about CPF Life

Source: Straits Times 13 Sept 2009
What you should know about CPF Life

By Lorna Tan, Senior Correspondent

In the coming weeks, about 700,000 Central Provident Fund (CPF) members aged 55 and above will be invited to join the CPF Lifelong Income Scheme For The Elderly (CPF Life). The annuity scheme offers a choice of four plans that pay a monthly income for as long as you live.

These plans offer various combinations of two key elements that are traded off: monthly payouts and refund amounts upon death or withdrawal from the scheme

In other words, if you want higher monthly payouts, that will reduce any final payout to your beneficiaries.

The initiative has been widely welcomed as being superior to the current CPF Minimum Sum (MS) scheme, which gives monthly payouts for about 20 years, but not necessarily for as long as you live.

The MS is the amount you are required to set aside at age 55 for retirement needs in your Retirement Account. The Retirement Account is set up when you turn 55 with savings coming from your Ordinary and Special accounts. CPF Life payouts come from the Retirement Account.

With rising life expectancy, it is prudent to ensure that your retirement savings will last for all your days.

The opt-in system began on Sept 5 and is open to older CPF members who wish to join the annuity scheme ahead of 2013, when it will be implemented for those turning 55 then. For older CPF members, the monthly payouts will start as early as next January.

While many are still undecided, some, like Madam Wong Kwai Sim, 55, have taken the plunge. She has opted for the CPF Life Balanced Plan, which will give her an estimated monthly payout of $856 to $948 when she hits 65.

Madam Wong, who works part-time as a clerk, currently has $117,000 in her Retirement Account, which is also the prevailing MS.

'By the time I can get the monthly payout, my children will be independent. I can get some from CPF Life and keep some for them when I pass away,' she said.

The Life Balanced Plan gives a moderate payout and a moderate refund. If she had stayed on the current MS scheme, her monthly payout would be some $910 for about 20 years.

Storeman Tay Lee Kheng, 61, said it was his son Benjamin, 32, who helped him choose the Life Plus Plan, estimated to pay $463 to $492 monthly when he turns 62 next year. He has about $80,000 in his Retirement Account.

'I'm not looking to get anything from him when he passes away. It is better that he gets a higher payout...All the money is his anyway,' said Mr Benjamin Tay. The Life Plus Plan provides for higher monthly payouts and a lower refund.

For those who have not decided, here are some things you should know about CPF Life. You must choose the most suitable plan as you cannot change it after you join the scheme. You cannot withdraw either, except under certain conditions.

Q Who can join CPF Life?

You can join CPF Life if you are a Singapore citizen or permanent resident aged between 55 and 80, with savings in your Retirement Account.

Those aged 55 to 79 have up to the time they reach age 80 to sign up for CPF Life. But those aged 80 and above have to do so by December next year.

A bonus of up to $4,000 is given to Singapore citizens who do so by December next year. To qualify, your annual income and the annual value of your property must not exceed $54,000 and $11,000 respectively.

Q What is the monthly payout?

Your monthly payout depends on your Retirement Account savings used to join CPF Life.

There is no minimum amount required, but note that members with lower balances will receive correspondingly lower monthly payouts.

Other factors that will affect the monthly payout include your gender, the age at which you join the scheme and the CPF Life plan chosen. Generally, females will receive lower payouts as they tend to live longer.

If you wish to have a higher payout, you may make cash and/or CPF top-ups to your Retirement Account up to the prevailing MS.

You can use the CPF Life Payout Estimator at the CPF website www.cpf.gov.sg to find out how the monthly payout varies with your Retirement Account balance.

Q Is the monthly payout fixed?

No, the monthly payout may be adjusted every year to take into account factors such as CPF interest rates and mortality experience.

The adjustments will usually be small so that payouts are stable.

The current estimated payout range is based on CPF interest rates of between 3.75 per cent and 4.25 per cent and do not necessarily represent the lower and upper limits of the payout.

Q When will I start receiving my monthly payouts?

If you join before your drawdown age (DDA), you will start to receive your monthly payout from your DDA.

If you join after your DDA, you will start to receive the monthly payout from the following month after you are included in the scheme.

If you were born in 1943 or earlier, your DDA is 60. For those born between 1944 and 1949, their DDA is 62. If you were born in 1950 or 1951, your DDA is 63 and if you were born in 1952 or 1953, your DDA is 64. For those born in 1954 or later, your DDA is 65.

Q Can I change my plan after I join?

No, you can't. This is because changing your plan will affect other members who are already in the scheme.

Q Can I withdraw after I join?

No, except on the following grounds:

  • Medical grounds of shortened life expectancy;
  • Leaving Singapore and West Malaysia permanently with no intention of returning to either country.

If you are on one of the three CPF Life plans with a refund feature, you will receive a discounted refund of the savings used to join the scheme less the monthly payouts that you have received prior to your withdrawal. There may not be a refund if your savings have been fully paid out in monthly payouts.

If you are on the Life Income Plan, which is a non-refund plan, you will not receive any refund if you withdraw from the scheme.

Q What happens when I die?

Let's assume you have opted for a CPF Life plan with a refund feature. If you die before any payout is made, the full savings will be refunded. If you die after monthly payouts have started, the savings less monthly payouts will be refunded.

Do note that there may not be a refund if you die after the savings used to join CPF Life have been fully paid out in monthly payouts.

Any refund will be made to your CPF account and paid to your beneficiaries, together with the rest of your CPF savings.

If you had chosen the CPF Life plan without a refund feature, that is, the Life Income Plan, there is no refund upon death even if monthly payouts have not started.

Q How do I choose the most suitable CPF Life plan?

The four plans differ in the level of monthly payout and the refund amount that may be left to your beneficiaries. The refund, also known as the bequest, is based on the savings used to join CPF Life less monthly payouts already received.

Alpha Financial Advisers' business unit director, Mr Tan Siak Lim, says that a CPF member should try to strike a balance between his retirement lifestyle and the bequest amount.

'You should consider the effect inflation will have on the payouts over your life. As these are level payouts, the value of payouts will shrink over time as prices of goods rise.'

Here are the four plans:

  • Life Basic Plan

This plan gives a lower payout than the Balanced Plan, but leaves more for your beneficiaries. It is recommended if you are in the pink of health or have sufficient savings outside your CPF, says Mr Patrick Lim, associate director at financial advisory firm PromiseLand Independent.

  • Life Balanced Plan

If you wish to strike a balance between your monthly payout and the bequest, the Life Balanced Plan may be more suitable for you. This is also the default plan for members who are automatically included under the scheme from 2013, if they do not choose a particular plan.

Mr Thio Eng Huat, vice-president at ipac financial planning Singapore, believes that those who are fortunate to have supplementary income in their retirement may find the Life Basic or Balanced plans more suitable.

  • Life Plus Plan

This plan provides a higher payout than the Balanced Plan, but leaves less for your beneficiaries.

Mr Lim says this will appeal more to individuals with chronic medical conditions who want the higher payouts to cope with the cost of living, and yet wish to leave something behind for their beneficiaries.

  • Life Income Plan

This plan gives the highest payout, but does not leave anything for your beneficiaries. Although it is logical to conclude that this plan may be more suitable for those who do not have beneficiaries, Mr Lim does not recommend this for anyone. This is in case the member changes his mind or if his personal circumstances change. Another reason is that there is no refund upon withdrawal from the scheme.

Q What else should I consider?

You should not depend on CPF Life to meet all your retirement needs as the payouts may be insufficient.

Start saving more and plan your retirement early. To bridge the gap, you can consider additional income plans like annuities from insurers, says Mr Tan.

Mr Lim recommends NTUC Income's annuity, which comes with a guaranteed monthly or annual payout, with a potential to receive higher payouts the longer the policyholder lives.

Also, ensure that you have funds set aside for medical expenses and insurance, says Mr Thio.

This article was first published in The Straits Times.

Sep 11, 2009

Dollar at multi-month lows

Source: Straits Times Sep 11, 2009
Dollar at multi-month lows
The dollar fell to the lowest levels for months against the euro and the yen on Friday as upbeat economic data reduced demand for the safe-haven greenback. -- PHOTO: AFP

LONDON - THE dollar fell to the lowest levels for months against the euro and the yen on Friday as upbeat economic data reduced demand for the safe-haven greenback, dealers said.

The euro rose to a near nine-month high of 1.4627 dollars in early London trading. The dollar dropped to 90.98 yen - the lowest level since mid-February.

In later London trade, the European single currency stood at 1.4591 dollars compared with 1.4583 dollars in New York late on Thursday. Against the Japanese currency, the dollar fell to 91.04 yen from 91.74 yen on Thursday.

Gold headed back towards 1,000 dollars an ounce as the weak US unit made the metal cheaper for buyers holding rival currencies, pushing up demand, dealers said.

'The dollar continues to move lower setting a new low for the year against the euro... while the dollar has fallen more sharply against the yen,' said Mr Derek Halpenny, European head of global currency research at The Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ in London. 'Risk appetite has been supported by mostly positive economic data from China,' he added.

Chinese economic numbers fuelled dollar weakness on Friday and investor risk appetite, underlining hopes of a global economic recovery, said Rabobank International economist Jeremy Stretch.

China said industrial activity expanded by 12.3 per cent last month and retail sales jumped 15.4 per cent, while urban fixed asset investment rose 33 per cent in January-August due to massive government spending on construction.

Traders snapped up the currencies of countries exporting commodities to the Asian powerhouse, notably the Australian dollar.

In contrast to the upbeat Chinese data, Japan revised down its estimate of second-quarter growth to 0.6 per cent, from an initial estimate of 0.9 per cent.

Most analysts meanwhile expect the dollar to weaken further amid a growing sense that recovery from the worst global economic crisis in decades is taking root.

With the economic outlook brightening, traders tend to shun the dollar in favour of riskier currencies that appeared more profitable, like the euro. -- AFP

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Sep 9, 2009

Name your own Beneficiaries

Source: Straits Times Sep 7, 2009
Policy rules eased
By Lorna Tan

POLICYHOLDERS are now allowed to name beneficiaries and change them when the need arises under a new nomination framework which kicked in on Sep 1.

The long-awaited-for Insurance Nomination law provides policyholders of life, accident and health policies, more flexibility and control over how they wish to distribute the policy proceeds. Customers have two choices, to either make a trust nomination or a revocable nomination.

This is a vast improvement from previously as the law did not allow a policyholder to change his beneficiary, even after a divorce. Back then, if you have named your spouse or children as policy beneficiaries, you have effectively created a statutory trust. This is even if you did not explicitly want to. It means that you cannot change your beneficiaries, or cash in your policy without the consent of the beneficiaries.

Many policyholders learn of this only during divorce proceedings when, to their horror, they find that their ex-spouses may still have claims on their policies. Or it comes to light only when the insured person dies, often sparking bitter family disputes.

Many policyholders also do not realise that if they name other parties such as grandparents, siblings, aunts and friends as beneficiaries, these people have no legal claim to policy proceeds.

The controversies surrounding such trusts prompted the insurance industry to do away with nominating beneficiaries in life policies since 2002.

The exception is NTUC Income because its policy proceeds are paid to nominees under a different law - the Cooperative Societies Act - and this Act allows a cooperative member to make a nomination, which can include spouse, kids, relatives and friends.

This is how the new framework operates.

With a trust nomination, the policyholder relinquishes all rights to the policy. This means that while he is still obliged to pay the premiums, all policy benefits - living and death - belong to the nominees. An advantage of this is that the policy proceeds are protected from creditors in the event of bankruptcy.

He can only regain his rights to own the policy benefits with the consent of all nominees. Only the spouse, or a child, of the policyholder is eligible to become a nominee under a trust nomination.

With a revocable nomination, the policyholder continue to retain full ownership over the policy. He also retains the ability to change, add or remove nominees at any time without the consent of the nominees. The policyholder will receive living benefits and only death benefits will be paid to the nominees.

Company Travel insurance

source: Straits Times 8 Sept 09

Travel insurance

My husband's boss replied that half the claim would go to the company. It does not make sense.'

MADAM GERTRUDE TAN: 'Recently, my husband flew to Paris. On the return trip, the plane was delayed by six hours due to a technical fault. My husband's company had bought travel insurance for him, so his boss asked him to claim for the delay from the insurance company. Great Eastern Life was very efficient, and a cheque for $200 was made payable to my husband in due course. However, my husband's boss told him to return the cheque. My husband argued with her that what if there was a plane crash and I could not claim insurance. My husband's boss replied that half the claim would go to the company for the loss of an employee. I sought advice from the Ministry of Manpower, but the labour relations officer said the Employment Act did not cover this insurance rule. It does not make sense that an insurance claim is paid to the company. If there was a claim for lost luggage and it was paid to the company, it would not be fair to the employee who lost the luggage.'

New rules on products

Source: Straits Times Sep 8, 2009
New rules on products
By Gabriel Chen MAS announced its decision as part of its response to feedback it has received on a slew of changes proposed in the wake of the collapse of Lehman-linked structured products. -- ST PHOTO: RICHARD CHNG

FROM now on, retail investors can expect financial products to fall clearly into two categories.

Products that fully protect an investor's principal sum are labelled 'capital guaranteed' - anything else carries the possibility of a loss.

That's because the Singapore's financial regulators have decided to ban a puzzling in-between category of investments that currently carry the monikers 'capital protected' or 'principal protected'.

There are no agreed definition for these terms, which are not easily understood by investors, said the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) on Tuesday.

MAS announced its decision as part of its response to feedback it has received on a slew of changes proposed in the wake of the collapse of Lehman-linked structured products.

These proposals, first released in March, were mooted in response to controversy over the way complex investment instruments were sold to people, including many elderly and lowly educated folk.

Some of the key changes require financial institutions to provide customers with simple, user-friendly 'product highlights sheets' and provide 'health warnings' on complex investments in appropriately large font.

MAS has also proposed that bank tellers should not sell investments and there should be a seven-day 'cooling off' period during which an investor could change his mind and pull out of his investment.

In a 19-page document on Tuesday, the financial regulator outlined public responses it had received, and said that it would adopt most of the proposals.

The ban on the use of the term 'capital protected' will apply to mass-market products familiar to retail investors, including structured deposits, unit trusts and investment-linked life insurance policies.

Some investors have previously raised concerns that they had difficulty understanding what those terms meant, MAS said.

A 'capital protected' product is where the principal sum is ploughed into investments like bonds which, on maturity, are expected to provide the 100 per cent capital protection.

But this is not a certainty.

'The bonds could turn sour and affect the value of the investment, and people may not get back 100 per cent,' said First Principal Financial's chief executive Mohamed Salim.

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Sep 3, 2009

Shipwreck survivor dies

Source: Straits Times Sep 3, 2009
Shipwreck survivor dies
By Serene Luo This picture was taken last year in happier times at the Singapore Cricket Club. In foreground, Mrs Wendy Goh and Mr William Goh Lye Guan, in back row, from left to right, Ryan, Russell, Reuben, and Rachel. -- PHOTO: COURTESY OF THE GOH FAMILY

A CLOSE shave with death when a cruise ship sank made a Singapore money broker steer a new course in life, making family his priority.

Mr William Goh Lye Guan was one of the survivors of the sinking of the Royal Pacific, a Singapore-based cruise liner that collided with a Taiwanese trawler in the Malacca Straits in 1992.

Following the tragedy, which claimed the life of a family member, Mr Goh cut back on his work and even became a stay-home dad, a notion virtually unheard of even today.

He took pride in running a tight ship with his brood of four, ferrying them to and from school, tuition and ballet classes.

But on Monday, this devoted and loving father died following a year-long battle with oral cancer. He was 52.

The ill-fated Royal Pacific had been on its maiden voyage in 1992, a three-day cruise to nowhere.

Mr Goh was on the ship with his wife Wendy, now 52, and his first-born and only daughter Rachel, now 19. His wife's sister and husband were travelling with them.

Of the nine missing or dead, six were Singaporeans, including Mr Goh's brother-in-law, architect Charles Law, who died while trying to escape.

Mr Goh and Mr Law were good friends, said Mr Goh's brother Steven, 47, and the tragedy probably made him take stock of his life. Mrs Goh started her childcare business in 1995, and the couple decided around then that 'Daddy would stay home to take care of the kids'.

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Aug 28, 2009

AIG extends improbable rally

Source: Straits Times Aug 28, 2009
AIG extends improbable rally
AIG reported in July second-quarter earnings of US$1.8 billion. -- PHOTO: AP

NEW YORK - INSURANCE giant AIG extended its surprising rally on Thursday, rising 26.9 per cent amid frenzied speculation along with improved prospects on its ability to repay its massive government bailout.

AIG shares closed at US$47.84 (S$68.89), up US$10.15 in a day and some 400 per cent from recent lows on July 9, before the ailing firm announced its first profit in nearly two years.

The rally has spread to other troubled financial firms including Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the two mortgage finance giants taken over by the government nearly a year ago. Some analysts said the rally was a 'short squeeze' in which market players who had bet on a decline are forced to purchase shares to cut their losses, resulting in upward pressure on stocks.

Analysts at Briefing.com said the gains were a 'garbage rally' in the most at-risk financials, 'which began late yesterday afternoon with the massive short squeeze in AIG.' The surge 'wasn't the result of a specific news-related catalyst; instead, it started as a small rally in the afternoon, and as it started to gather steam and accelerate it forced shorts to panic and scramble to cover,' the note to clients said.

'Since AIG is the most volatile name in the 'at-risk financials' group, this created one of those momentum themes where coming in this morning, traders saw AIG continuing to squeeze in pre-market trading, and so they started to bid up the other low-quality financial stocks.' Andy Brooks, head of equity trading at T Rowe Price, said AIG 'looks like a stock that may be salvageable, so that has drawn investor attention. The same thing has happened to Fannie and Freddie.' But he noted that AIG stock 'is still down a down a ton from its highs' over US$1,000 a few years ago.

AIG was the largest single recipient of US bailouts, with the government pumping more than US$170 billion into the firm to keep it afloat and taking a controlling stake in the group in the process. It reported in July second-quarter earnings of US$1.8 billion.

The company said its return to profits came as some 'businesses stabilized and the company's results reflected positive valuation changes. AIG also achieved several important milestones in its restructuring programme.' AIG was on the verge of collapse last year after backing trillions of dollars in risky financial products amid a home mortgage meltdown that triggered financial turmoil.

Jon Ogg at 24/7WallSt.com said some of the AIG interest came on reports that new chief executive Robert Benmosche had talked with founder and former CEO Hank Greenberg about efforts to help rescue the firm. Joe Weisenthal at the financial website Clusterstock said the AIG rally was 'insane' since the government would have to be repaid before shareholders could benefit.

'Nobody knows what's going on, really. It's all rumor and speculation,' he said. Among other financials, Fannie Mae rose 3.78 per cent to US$1.92 dollars and Freddie Mac jumped 10.34 per cent to US$2.24. Citigroup, the bank with the biggest US bailout, jumped 9.07 per cent to US$5.05. -- AFP

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US consumer spending up 0.2%

Source: Straits Times Aug 28, 2009
US consumer spending up 0.2%

WASHINGTON - US CONSUMER spending rose for the third consecutive month in July while incomes were virtually flat, government data showed on Friday in a report suggesting demand picking up amid the long recession.

The Commerce Department said consumer spending - which drives two-thirds of US economic activity - rose 0.2 per cent in July, in line with the average analyst forecast.

Personal income was up less than 0.10 per cent and disposable personal income - income less personal taxes - slipped less than 0.1 per cent.

The department said spending rose a revised 0.6 per cent in June, a hefty 0.2 percentage point higher than the initial estimate.

The June surge in consumer spending had been captured in the Commerce Department's report Thursday on second-quarter economic growth, which showed spending fell at an annualized rate of 1.0 per cent, a decline less steep than first estimated.

In that report, the department left unchanged its initial estimate that gross domestic product, which measures output, shrank 1.0 per cent at an annual pace in the April-June period, better than analysts forecasts of a 1.5 per cent decline.

Friday's consumer spending and income data showed that consumer prices held steady in July from June.

As a result, real consumer spending - excluding price variations - rose 0.2 per cent in July.

Real disposable income fell 0.1 per cent in July, following a 1.6 per cent decline in June.

Americans struggling with the worst recession since the Great Depression continued to save in July but at a slower pace, with the savings rate as a percentage of disposable income falling to 4.2 per cent.

The savings rate had hit its highest level since 1995 in May as households hunkered down as unemployment surged in the sharp recession that began in December 2007. -- AFP

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Aug 26, 2009

New consumer watchdog

Source: Straits Times Aug 25, 2009
New consumer watchdog
By Francis Chan, Finance Correspondent

A NEW consumer watchdog was launched on Tuesday to keep closer tabs on financial institutions and their sales processes.

Formed by former Income chief executive Tan Kin Lian, the Financial Services Consumers Association (FiSCA) is an independent and not-for-profit organisation that sets out to strengthen financial consumer protection.

The move to set up FiSCA came after thousands of retail investors here lost their savings on complex structured products.

FiSCA will focus on education and research. It will hold seminars and consumer forums for members to enhance their understanding of financial services and products.

"Ultimately, our focus is to educate people on how to make choices," said Mr Tan, who will head FiSCA as president.

"But even before we learn to assess the more complex products, we must make sure we have the basic understanding first. If not, we may be easily taken for a ride."

Mr Tan said for an annual membership fee of $36, members can also access its services, which will also include an online platform.

A survey has found that investors here want a truly independent watchdog that is not funded by any financial institution, said Mr Michael Zhan, FiSCA committee member.

To maintain its impartiality, FiSCA will not seek funding from financial institutions, said Mr Tan.

FiSCA hopes to raise additional funding from government agencis and other philanthropic organisations that want to promote consumer financial education.

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2nd term for Bernanke

Source: Straits Times Aug 25, 2009
2nd term for Bernanke

OAK BLUFFS (Massachusetts) - PRESIDENT Barack Obama on Tuesday awarded Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke a second term, saying his bold 'out-of-the-box' thinking would help steer the US economy out of the worst slump since the 1930s.

Mr Obama suddenly interrupted his vacation on the resort island of Martha's Vineyard to make the announcement, praising Mr Bernanke's battle against 'one of the worst financial crises that this nation and the world have ever faced.'

Lauding the cerebral Mr Bernanke for learning lessons of the 1930s Great Depression, and his background, temperament, courage and creativity, he said the Fed chief was the ideal man to help lead the economic rebound.

'Ben approached a financial system on the verge of collapse with calm and wisdom, with bold action and out-of-the-box thinking that has helped put the brakes on our economic freefall,' Mr Obama said.

The president warned however that the economy and the financial system had a 'long way' to go before its full health was restored.

Mr Bernanke, 55, will be expected to win Senate confirmation for his reappointment, but could face stiff questioning from some lawmakers who believe he did too little to stave off the recession and protect consumers.

Mr Obama's unexpected announcement, on what aides had billed as a 'no news' vacation, will likely give the financial markets, on which many Americans depend for their retirement savings, a quick boost. It may also dampen criticism of the president's economic management on a day when his Office of Management and Budget and the Congressional Budget Office are both due to release new statistics on the ballooning deficit.

Mr Obama's sudden announcement could also suck media interest away from a flurry of lawmakers' town hall meetings featuring attacks on his limping health care reform plan and a new row over Bush-era 'war on terror' tactics. His praise for Mr Bernanke read like a defense of his own economic policy, which is facing mounting opposition as his political approval ratings decline.

'Almost none of the decisions that he or any of us made have been easy,' he said, mentioning auto and financial industry rescues and his administration's bumper economic stimulus package. 'They faced plenty of critics, some of whom argued that we should stay the course or do nothing at all. But taken together, this bold, persistent experimentation has brought our economy back from the brink.'

Mr Bernanke admitted that the Federal Reserve had been challenged by the unprecedented events of recent years. 'We have been bold or deliberate as circumstances demanded,' he said, adding that his objective was to restore a stable financial and economic environment. -- AFP

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Aug 24, 2009

China faces new econ worries

Source: Straits Times Aug 24, 2009
China faces new econ worries

BEIJING - CHINA'S top economic official warned the country faces new problems and said Beijing will stick to its stimulus because the recovery lacks a solid foundation, according to comments reported on Monday.

Premier Wen Jiabao cautioned against being 'blindly optimistic' despite improvements in the economy, according to a statement on the Cabinet's Web site.

The economy 'still faces many new difficulties and problems,' Mr Wen was quoted as saying during a visit to southeastern China that ended on Monday. 'There are still a lot of unstable and uncertain factors ahead and the economic situation ahead is still very grave, although both the world economy and the national economy are making positive changes now.'

The premier cautioned that the effects of some government measures might fade while others would take time to show results, the Cabinet statement said. It gave no other details of potential problems.

Mr Wen's comments echoed his repeated warnings against complacency and assurances that easy credit will continue. But they clashed with increasing optimism among analysts who say China is making dramatic progress in emerging from its slump.

Mr Wen promised to stick to policies meant to boost domestic demand, maintain easy credit and promote efficiency. Beijing is in the midst of a two-year, 4 trillion yuan (S$844 billion) effort to boost domestic consumption by pumping money into the economy through higher spending on building highways and other public works.

Driven by that spending, economic growth accelerated to 7.9 per cent in the latest quarter, up from the previous quarter's 6.1 per cent, but Mr Wen and other officials have called for continued vigilance. They say weak corporate profits and other areas show a recovery is not firmly established.

Many analysts expect China to be the first major economy to emerge from the sharpest global downturn since the 1930s.

The strongest improvement has been in stimulus-financed areas such as construction. Most of the early benefits have gone to state-owned companies, while a private sector recovery has lagged.

Analysts say more gains are still dependent on stimulus spending. Chinese stock markets have declined this month on concern Beijing might curb record bank lending that financed the stimulus and ignited a boom in stock prices. -- AP

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More bank failures expected

Source: Straits Times: Aug 24, 2009
More bank failures expected
People walk past a Bank of America branch in New York August 13, 2009. -- PHOTO: REUTERS

NEW YORK - A PROMINENT banking analyst said on Sunday that 150 to 200 more US banks will fail in the current banking crisis, and the industry's payments to keep the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp afloat could eat up 25 per cent of pretax income in 2010.

Mr Richard Bove of Rochdale Securities said this will likely force the FDIC, which insures deposits, to turn increasingly to non-US banks and private equity funds to shore up the banking system.

'The difficulty at the moment is finding enough healthy banks to buy the failing banks,' Mr Bove wrote.

The FDIC is expected on August 26 to vote on relaxed guidelines for private equity firms to invest in failed banks, after critics said previously proposed rules were too harsh and would actually dissuade firms from making investments.

Mr Bove said 'perhaps another 150 to 200 banks will fail,' on top of 81 so far in 2009, adding stress to the FDIC's deposit insurance fund.

Three large failures this year - BankUnited Financial Corp in May, and Colonial BancGroup Inc , Guaranty Financial Group Inc in August - collectively cost the fund roughly US$10.7 billion (S$15.4 billion).

The fund had US$13 billion at the end of March.

Regulators closed Guaranty's banking unit on Friday and sold assets of the Texas-based lender to Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria SA . The FDIC agreed to share in losses with the Spanish bank.

Mr Bove said the FDIC will likely levy special assessments against banks in the fourth quarter of this year and second quarter of 2010.

He said these assessments could total US$11 billion in 2010, on top of the same amount of regular assessments. 'FDIC premiums could be 25 per cent of the industry's pretax income,' he wrote. -- REUTERS

Aug 23, 2009

Study finds promise in estrogen treatment for breast cancer

Source: www.channelnewsasia.com

Study finds promise in estrogen treatment for breast cancer Posted: 19 August 2009 1345 hrs

WASHINGTON – Low doses of estrogen could help treat some forms of breast cancer, according to a clinical study published on Tuesday. The findings, published in the Journal of the American Medical Association, could lead to a partial reversal in how metastatic breast cancer is currently treated using medicines to lower estrogen levels. "When estrogen-lowering drugs no longer control metastatic breast cancer, the opposite strategy might work," said a statement from the Washington University School of Medicine, which carried out the tests. Matthew Ellis, an oncologist who was the lead author of the study, said around a third of the women who did not respond to standard treatment reacted well to the new regimen. "Raising estrogen levels benefited 30 percent of women whose metastatic breast cancer no longer responded to standard anti-estrogen treatment," he said. Side effects from raising estrogen levels could include headaches, bloating, breast tenderness, fluid retention, nausea and vomiting, but Ellis said side effects were limited in comparison to other treatments. "We found that estrogen treatment stopped disease progression in many patients and was much better tolerated than chemotherapy would have been." "Overall, we demonstrated clearly that the low dose was better tolerated than the high dose and was just as effective for controlling metastatic disease." - AFP/sh

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Race Against Cancer aims to help needy patients

Source: www.channelnewsasia.com

Race Against Cancer aims to help needy patients By Cheryl Lim, Channel NewsAsia | Posted: 23 August 2009 1448 hrs

SINGAPORE: Giving strength and encouragement to those battling cancer. That's what the inaugural Race Against Cancer hopes to do. Some 3,600 participants took part in the race. Among them was Dr William Tan who is currently seeking treatment for stage four leukaemia. Together with some 20 sponsors, they raised about S$465,000. The Cancer Society is hoping to raise some $500,000 as part of the race's fund-raising efforts. The money will go towards the society's various programmes. These include the "SCS Help the Children and Youth programme" that helps children whose lives have been affected by cancer. Support will be provided in four areas - the school allowance grant and bursary schemes, counselling, mentoring and family engagement services. The society helps more than 1,000 needy cancer patients and reaches out to some 40,000 individuals through its community outreach and awareness programmes. - CNA/ir

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Aug 21, 2009

S'poreans under-insured

Source: Straits Times Aug 21, 2009
S'poreans under-insured
Average person covered for only a third of $495k needed
By Charissa Yong
An average Singaporean needs life insurance protection of $494,851. However, his existing life cover is only $165,628 on average. -- ST GRAPHIC

THE average Singaporean now needs about $495,000 of life insurance, but is covered for only one-third of that amount - a drastic shortfall that needs urgent attention, an expert has warned.

According to a new report by Nanyang Technological University (NTU) Associate Professor David Yee, workers here aged from 20 to 64 are under-insured by as much as $525 billion nationwide.

An average Singaporean needs life insurance protection of $494,851. However, his existing life cover is only $165,628 on average, even after including mortgage insurance and CPF savings. This leaves a stunning shortfall of $329,223.

Prof Yee presented the report at a seminar on insurance held at the Intercontinental Hotel on Thursday.

A working adult's protection needs should provide enough cash to maintain dependants' current living standards. It should also cover any outstanding debts and funeral expenses.

This excludes the contribution of a surviving spouse. In addition, it needs to cover housing costs, allowances given to parents and children's expenses, including education fees.

Working men aged 30 to 49 have the highest protection needs as they have the highest income and are likely to have higher personal loans. Also, more dependants typically rely on them financially.

The male-female income gap is the main driver behind differences in the insurance needs of each gender, he said.

As couples get older, the husband tends to be the more dominant breadwinner, and so the financial burden of protection shifts away from the wife.

Those aged 30 to 39 were found to have the highest level of insurance ownership, but also the most protection needs.

Read the full story in Friday's edition of The Straits Times

charyong@sph.com.sg

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Aug 19, 2009

Grow old in own homes

Source: Straits Times Aug 19, 2009
Grow old in own homes
By Tan Weizhen Although nursing homes are a necessity as the population ages, the Government wants to help elderly Singaporeans to grow old in their own homes as far as possible and will expand services to help them, said Lim Boon Heng. --ST PHOTO: STEPHANIE YEOW

ALTHOUGH nursing homes are a necessity as the population ages, the Government wants to help elderly Singaporeans to grow old in their own homes as far as possible and will expand services to help them, said Lim Boon Heng, Minister in the Prime Minister's Office on Wednesday night.

He said services such as day care, home care, escort, transport, befriending services are required and will be expanded over time.

Caregivers will also get support by tapping on volunteers and non-profit organisations like churches.

Speaking at the 50th anniversary dinner of the Catholic Welfare Services, Mr Lim said the Government will do more to provide information and referral, develop relevant services, and promote the use of the caregiver training grant, which provides $200 subsidises to train a caregiver.

He also urged the private sector, such as nursing homes and other organisations, to work with the government to achieve this, as well as to provide the elderly more opportunities to be socially active.

Mr Lim said as Singapore enters the 'threshold of rapid aging', the demand for nursing home beds will rise to cope with the growing aging population.

'Our baby boomers will join the ranks of 'elderly' in a few years. Assuming the same level of demand we have now, the need for nursing home beds will double in 10 years, triple in 20 years,' he said.

He disclosed that discussion to expand two nursing homes - St Theresa's Home and St Joseph's Home - is underway.

They are under the care of the Catholic Welfare Services (CWS), and its third nursing home, Villa Francis, is already being relocated and expanded.

The dinner, held at Bliss Garden Restaurant at Singapore Expo, was also attended by Health Minister Khaw Boon Wan, Reverend Nicholas Chia, Archbishop of Singapore, and Archbishop Salvatore Pennacchio, Apostolic Nuncio to the Republic of Singapore, along with 600 guests, staff from nursing homes, VWOs, volunteers and board members.

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